We believe the rally is driven by the growing probability of a corporate tax rate drop from 21% to 15%, requiring a 7.6% ...

It’s a week and a half until Americans go to the polls. Early voting has begun in several states and it’s on a knife edge. But, for the first time in two months, our in-house forecast model ...

The Central Bank board of directors at its meeting on October 25 decided to raise the rate from 19% to 21% - the increment was 1 percentage point at its September meeting - while maintaining a hawkish ...

The mean probability of leaving one’s job voluntarily in the next year rose to 20.4% from 189.1%, with the increase most pronounced among respondents below age 40. The mean perceived probability ...

The Federal Reserve puts the probability of a recession in the next 12 months at 57%. While recessions aren't always painful ...

Donald Trump's and Kamala Harris' offshore betting odds of winning the 2024 election continue to move differently from what ...

Le, V, Nguyen, A-N, Gregoriou, A and Forbes, W (2024) Insider Trading and CEO Pay-Gap Induced Turnover. Journal of Risk and ...

The volatility index or VIX is essentially a normalised option price. When it’s low, options are cheap and it’s time to buy.

If corporate tax rates increase, companies may see their after-tax earnings decline, which could put downward pressure on stock prices. Another area to watch is the regulation of the tech sector.

Even without a landfall in Florida, the state is expected to feel some impacts from Rafael, starting as early as today.

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