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硕果仅存“风向标” 赢得华盛顿州小县=得天下?
所谓风向标县,就是在历史上准确预测大选结果的地方。这些地方分布在全美各个地方(很多在摇摆州),人口一般数万人,选民画像是美国人口结构的某种缩影。由于美国大选历史很长,不同时期政治差异很大,所以约定俗成就选在1980年——看看这个地方自1980年以来预测大选的准确度。
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